(skip this header)

Darien News

Friday, April 25, 2014

dariennewsonline.com Businesses

« Back to Article

Latest models: Nor'easter likely to miss us

Connecticut Post
Updated 11:13 pm, Thursday, November 15, 2012

nextprevious

  • A view of a home along Old Mill Road during a snow storm in Fairfield, Conn. on Saturday October 29, 2011. Photo: Christian Abraham / Connecticut Post
    A view of a home along Old Mill Road during a snow storm in Fairfield, Conn. on Saturday October 29, 2011. Photo: Christian Abraham

 

Larger | Smaller
Email This
Font
Page 1 of 1

The nor'easter once expected to foul up Thanksgiving plans in the area has apparently laid an egg.

The National Weather Service forecast calls for only a 10 percent chance of precipitation next Wednesday, with daytime highs in Bridgeport reaching into the low 50s. A nighttime low of 40 is predicted.

The storm, which is the third to affect the area in a month, appears to be on a track that will carry it out to sea, sparing the shoreline -- still reeling from Supertorm Sandy -- more flooding and erosion.

A high pressure system to the north now looks likely to hold the yet-to-form storm south of us and then east and out to sea, WTNH TV meteorologist Gil Simmons said.

Even the vaunted European forecasting model, which correctly predicted Sandy's path, shows the latest storm will be a miss, not a hit. While the European model calls for the storm to stay south of us, it does indicate that the wind, rain and snow will stay close to the Atlantic Coast, forecaster Erika Martin said. The other model, the GFS, shows it missing the U.S. mainland completely.

"I am feeling a bit more confident that the system may make less of an impact than the models first showed," Martin wrote on the WXEdge blog. "But it's still too early to say for sure."

The Weather Underground forecasting service expects that a light rain will be falling over southern Connecticut at 7 p.m. Wednesday, when several key high school football matchups are set to kick off.

The service has no warnings, watches or alerts for the area during the holiday period.

Simmons agreed, telling viewers of WTNH TV's news at noon Thursday that "huge changes in computer models now make a nor'easter next week unlikely.'' But the meteorologist said on his blog at wxedge.com, "I'll feel much more confident about this (Friday) after monitoring the computer trends.''

Here is Simmons' forecast:

Friday: Mostly sunny, high around 50.

Saturday: Partly cloudy with temperatures around 50.

Sunday: Cloudy and cool with a reading of 50

Monday: Sunny and colder, with temperatures in the upper 40s.